Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.898495 1.011273 1.134255 1.278570 1.443586 1.626743 1.845926
2025-01-26 0.731013 0.884932 1.066864 1.298834 1.588242 1.939348 2.400507
2025-02-02 0.642058 0.815415 1.031564 1.322986 1.708840 2.206669 2.904802
2025-02-09 0.573164 0.756556 0.995312 1.332249 1.800825 2.437272 3.380627
2025-02-16 0.519001 0.707935 0.963162 1.337805 1.881568 2.654238 3.857223
2025-02-23 0.481302 0.676131 0.948217 1.362129 1.986819 2.912195 4.420396
2025-03-02 0.433391 0.624283 0.898551 1.328801 2.000497 3.032296 4.783096
2025-03-09 0.408681 0.603262 0.890707 1.355476 2.105804 3.300909 5.412706
2025-03-16 0.377398 0.569189 0.859539 1.341771 2.143934 3.463851 5.883370
2025-03-23 0.356026 0.548221 0.846171 1.354125 2.224198 3.702495 6.512875
2025-03-30 0.330367 0.518203 0.815629 1.334721 2.247682 3.844627 6.983325
2025-04-06 0.309864 0.494746 0.793525 1.326935 2.289483 4.021695 7.539568
2025-04-13 0.281599 0.456799 0.745146 1.270531 2.240844 4.032656 7.782053
2025-04-20 0.269762 0.445528 0.740865 1.291646 2.336268 4.323498 8.628606
2025-04-27 0.259445 0.435944 0.738490 1.315549 2.438662 4.638191 9.568741
2025-05-04 0.247687 0.422893 0.728841 1.324764 2.513029 4.904744 10.442642
2025-05-11 0.236371 0.409750 0.717902 1.330285 2.580127 5.163181 11.335444
2025-05-18 0.228554 0.402326 0.716743 1.354457 2.687290 5.517604 12.504221
2025-05-25 0.213740 0.380986 0.688043 1.321337 2.671079 5.602343 13.036623
2025-06-01 0.207616 0.375450 0.688834 1.347845 2.784780 5.988441 14.376604
2025-06-08 0.197084 0.360822 0.671000 1.334226 2.809028 6.172705 15.227564
2025-06-15 0.190293 0.352931 0.665748 1.346503 2.892166 6.503934 16.520198
2025-06-22 0.180504 0.338549 0.646565 1.327220 2.901029 6.657523 17.351930